NOW
Economic Timeline
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▲ UPCOMING — MAR 19, 2026
CSPAN
Jonathan V. Gould, Comptroller of the Currency
C-SPAN address on banking supervision priorities — potential regulatory signals
2:30 PM
▲ UPCOMING — MAR 18, 2026
FOMC
FOMC Meeting — Rate Decision
Federal Reserve interest rate announcement + press conference
2:00 PM
FED
Jerome Powell — Q&A at Economic Club of New York
Post-decision remarks — market watches for forward guidance language shifts
6:00 PM
▲ UPCOMING — MAR 17, 2026
BLS
Empire State Manufacturing Index
NY Fed manufacturing survey — leading indicator
8:30 AM
EXEC
Trump — CNBC Interview
Live interview covering tariffs, trade policy, and economic outlook — high volatility potential
11:00 AM
EARNINGS
NVDA — Q4 Earnings Report
Nvidia Corp quarterly earnings — consensus EPS $0.89
4:15 PM
▲ UPCOMING — MAR 15, 2026
GOV
Retail Sales (MoM)
Feb retail sales — consumer spending strength gauge
8:30 AM
FED
Fed Gov. Waller — Speech at Brookings
"Economic Outlook and Monetary Policy" — potential forward guidance
12:30 PM
● TODAY — MAR 14, 2026
BLS
PPI — Producer Price Index
Feb PPI: +0.3% MoM (est. +0.2%) — hotter than expected
8:30 AM
CARMEN
⚠ Data Profile Alert: Stagflation Pattern
PPI + labor data matches IMF WP/2024/087 stagflation profile
8:42 AM
MARKET
Consumer Sentiment (UMich Prelim)
Preliminary Mar reading: 72.5 (prior 76.9) — sharp decline
10:00 AM
▼ MAR 13, 2026
BLS
Initial Jobless Claims
Weekly claims: 218K (prior 212K) — slight uptick
8:30 AM
CSPAN
Senate Banking Committee Hearing
Chair testimony on regional bank liquidity — flagged by Sonar™
10:00 AM
▼ MAR 12, 2026
BLS
CPI — Consumer Price Index
Feb CPI: +0.4% MoM, +3.2% YoY — above consensus
8:30 AM
CARMEN
Wind Direction Update: Headwind Strengthening
CPI + PPI trajectory diverging from Fed target — rate cut probability declining
9:15 AM
EARNINGS
ORCL — Q3 Earnings Report
Oracle beat EPS $1.47 vs $1.39 est — cloud revenue +25% YoY
4:05 PM
▼ MAR 11, 2026
FED
10-Year Treasury Auction
Bid-to-cover: 2.41 (prior 2.56) — weakening demand
1:00 PM
GOV
JOLTS Job Openings
Jan: 8.86M (prior 9.03M) — labor market cooling
10:00 AM
▼ MAR 10, 2026
MARKET
S&P 500 — Gap Down Open
Opened -1.2% on tariff escalation fears — recovered to -0.6%
9:30 AM
OSINT
User Intel: Unusual Container Ship Rerouting
3 users flagged Maersk vessels rerouting from Shanghai — peer correlated
11:42 AM
Market Ticker
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SPY
$562.34
+0.47%   +$2.63   Vol: 48.2M
$568
$566
$564
$562
$560
$558
$556
$554
$552
$550
CPI Profile Matches 2019 Pre-Cut Pattern
Current CPI + labor trajectory matches data profile from IMF WP/2019/142. Historical precedent: Fed cut within 90 days.
87% conf BEARISH RATES
Global Chat
142 online
#general
alpine_macro PPI came in hot. Third month in a row above estimates 8:31
vol_trader_9 bonds selling off hard on that print 8:32
macro_jenny anyone watching $TLT? breaking below 90 8:33
darkpool_watcher seeing unusual block prints on $SPY puts expiring next week 8:35
alpine_macro the Carmen alert on stagflation pattern is interesting. third time this quarter it's flagged that profile 8:44
yield_curve_pete 2s10s just inverted again. classic 8:46
vol_trader_9 Waller speaking Monday at Brookings — that's the one to watch. Last time he spoke the whole curve moved 8bps 8:48
macro_jenny ghost pattern confirmed on $ES overnight... anyone else see that? 8:52
darkpool_watcher yeah caught it at 3am. high quality, long duration. preceded by that weird volume at London open 8:53
yield_curve_pete UMich sentiment at 10. If that misses too we're looking at a triple headwind day 9:58
alpine_macro 72.5 on UMich. miss. wind is blowing. 10:01
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Economy
📡 Ghost Pattern Detected
High quality, long duration ghost pattern confirmed on ES (S&P 500 Futures). Preceded economic data release window.
08:52 AM · Confidence: HIGH