Bimini Sonar™ — Forex Interface Mockup

▲ UPCOMING — MAR 19, 2026

BOJ

Bank of Japan — Rate Decision & Outlook

Ueda presser follows — market pricing 60% chance of 25bp hike. USD/JPY key level 148.50

3:00 AM JST

▲ UPCOMING — MAR 18, 2026

FOMC

Federal Reserve — Rate Decision

Hold expected at 4.25-4.50%. Dot plot and Powell presser will drive USD across all pairs

2:00 PM EST

RBA

Reserve Bank of Australia — Meeting Minutes

Feb meeting minutes release — AUD/USD sensitive to hawkish/dovish language

11:30 PM AEST

▲ UPCOMING — MAR 17, 2026

TRADE

China — Feb Trade Balance & Export Data

Expected surplus $85B. Export decline would signal demand weakness — bearish CNY, risk-off

3:00 AM HKT

GEO

EU Foreign Ministers — Russia Sanctions Review

New sanctions package under review — energy exemptions key for EUR and RUB

10:00 AM CET

OPEC

OPEC+ — Monthly Oil Market Report

Production compliance data + demand forecast revision. Brent at $78 — CAD, NOK, RUB sensitive

12:00 PM CET

▲ UPCOMING — MAR 15, 2026

ECB

ECB Gov. Lagarde — Speech at Banque de France

"Monetary Policy in a Fragmenting World" — EUR/USD reacts to any rate path language

3:00 PM CET

DATA

US Retail Sales (MoM) + Michigan Sentiment

Double data release — strong prints = USD bid, weak = risk-off JPY bid

8:30 AM EST

● TODAY — MAR 14, 2026

DATA

US PPI — Producer Price Index

Feb PPI: +0.3% MoM (est +0.2%) — hotter print, USD bid across board

8:30 AM

CARMEN

⚠ DXY Breakout Alert: Dollar Strength Convergence

PPI + yields + BOJ hold expectation = USD strength across EUR, GBP, JPY. DXY testing 105.20 resistance

8:45 AM

OIL

Brent Crude — $78.40 (+1.8%)

Red Sea shipping disruptions persist — tanker rerouting adds $2/barrel. CAD, NOK, RUB strengthening

9:15 AM

GEO

Trump — Tariff Escalation: 25% on EU Steel

Executive order signed. EUR/USD dropped 40 pips in 8 minutes. Retaliation expected

10:30 AM

CARMEN

Tariff → Currency War Pattern Match

2018-2019 tariff escalation pattern: USD strengthened 8% over 6 months post-announcement. Research RAG match: IMF WP/2019/206

10:42 AM

EXEC

Jamie Dimon (JPMorgan) — CNBC on Dollar Strength

"The dollar's reserve status is not permanent" — dovish on USD long-term, hawkish on rates near-term

11:00 AM

PBOC

PBOC — USD/CNY Fix: 7.1726

Fix stronger than expected (market 7.1842) — PBOC defending Yuan, intervening against USD strength

9:15 AM HKT

▼ MAR 13, 2026

ECB

ECB — Rate Decision: Hold at 3.50%

As expected. Lagarde signaled data-dependent path — EUR/USD initially stable, then sold on US data

1:45 PM CET

TRADE

Russia-India — Rupee-Ruble Bilateral Trade Agreement

Expanded oil settlement in local currencies — bypassing USD. De-dollarization signal

4:00 PM MSK

OSINT

User Intel: Oil Tanker Transponders Off — Persian Gulf

4 users flagged transponder blackouts on 7 VLCCs near Strait of Hormuz — peer correlated

6:20 PM

▼ MAR 12, 2026

DATA

US CPI — Consumer Price Index

Feb CPI: +0.4% MoM, +3.2% YoY — above consensus. DXY rallied 60 pips

8:30 AM

CARMEN

Wind Direction: USD Tailwind Strengthening

CPI + PPI trajectory diverging from Fed target — rate cut pushback = persistent USD strength cycle

9:00 AM

BOE

Bank of England — Gov. Bailey Speech

"UK inflation stickier than expected" — GBP/USD bid initially, faded on US CPI

12:00 PM GMT

▼ MAR 11, 2026

GEO

China — Rare Earth Export Restrictions Expanded

Retaliatory measure — gallium, germanium added. USD/CNY widened, JPY safe-haven bid

10:00 AM HKT

OIL

EIA Crude Inventory — Surprise Draw

-4.2M barrels (est -1.5M) — Brent jumped $1.20, CAD and NOK strengthened

10:30 AM